April 2016
Lakson Outlook Economic and Markets Review FMR Lakson Money Market Fund FMR Lakson Income Fund FMR Lakson Equity Fund FMR Lakson Asset Allocation Developed Markets Fund FMR Lakson Asset Allocation Emerging Markets Fund FMR Lakson Asset Allocation Global Commodities Fund Mutual Funds Performance Comparison Markets Information
Rated AM2- by PACRA
Business Principles
Our investors' interests always come first. We believe that if we serve our clients well, our own success will follow. Integrity and honesty are at the heart of our business. We expect our people to maintain high ethical standards. Our commitment to our clients, integrity, professional excellence, entrepreneurial spirit and teamwork will set us apart. Our firm shares bonuses with all employees - not just top management, but also those who perform standard administrative and clerical duties. Our goal is to provide superior returns to our shareholders. Profitability is critical to achieving superior returns, building our capital, and attracting and keeping the best people. Our business is highly competitive and we will aggressively seek to expand our client relationships. However, we are always fair competitors and never denigrate other firms.
Table of contents Economic & Markets Review
04 - 05
Lakson Money Market Fund
06
Lakson Income Fund
07
Lakson Equity Fund
08
Lakson Asset Allocation Global Commodities Fund
09
Lakson Asset Allocation Developed Markets Fund
10 - 11
Lakson Asset Allocation Emerging Markets Fund
12
Funds Return History
13
Mutual Funds Performance Comparison
14 - 16
Markets Information
17 - 18
03
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Economic & Markets Review - Pakistan Economy CPI inflation continued to accelerate and was recorded at 4.2% YoY in April, due to an unanticipated increase in the price of food items. This increase was reflected most strongly in the month-on-month number which was up by 1.6%, the highest reading since July 2014. With Ramadan drawing closer and the recent recovery in oil prices inflation could continue to surprise on the higher side. Other macro indicators also continued their positive trend in Apr'16, where Large-scale manufacturing (LSM) grew by 4.4% YoY during 8MFY16. The effect of lower rates and improved sentiment was witnessed in private sector credit which increased by 10.5% YoY, while healthy growth was witnessed in long term and trade financing as well. As per provisional data, tax collection for 10MFY16 amounted to PKR 2.3 trillion, up 19% YoY on track with the GoP's target for FY16. The current account posted a USD 239 million surplus in March 2016 primarily benefiting from lower oil prices despite a slowdown in remittances. Pakistan's current account deficit shrank by 18.5% YoY during 9MFY16 to USD 1.6 billion. The deficit is now 0.7% of GDP as opposed to 1.0% during 9MFY15. The reduction in the deficit can largely be attributed to a 6% YoY growth in remittances and a 5% YoY decline in the import of goods and services. Fixed Income Review The last T bill auction was scrapped despite participation of PKR 339 billion as the SBP deemed the level of bids too low. Meanwhile, in the last PIB auction, the SBP accepted bids of PKR 136 billion against participation of PKR 193 billion. The cut off yields for the 3, 5 and 10 year bonds settled at 6.54%, 6.99%, and 8.18% respectively. Secondary market yields have more recently come under pressure as expectations of further monetary easing have faded in the light of higher inflation and uncertainty over PKR stability. Equities Markets Review Despite political noise, modest corporate results and continued FPI outflow (USD 18.1 million) the KSE-30 index rallied by 5.4% to 20,205 points during April. The rally was driven by index heavyweights; Oil & Gas Exploration (+13%) and Commercial Banks (+8%), which saw renewed investor interest on higher oil prices, attractive valuations and optimism over Pakistan's reclassification in to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. This optimism could also be seen in the considerable rise in average volumes from 59.3mn shares in Mar'16 to 83.2mn shares in Apr'16. In addition to Oil & Gas Exploration and Banks, Refineries (+21.5%), Textile Composite (+11.9%), and Cements (+2.2%) were among the top contributors to the index during April. The KSE-30 index continues to trade at a discount to regional indices. The forward PE ratio of the KSE 30 in April'16 was 9.2x, compared to 13.2x of Shanghai Composite Index and 15.9x of India's Sensex Index.
Yield Curve
12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 1W
2M
6M
2Y
5Y
31-Mar-16
8Y
15Y
29-Apr-16
USD/PKR vs. Forex Reserves Forex Res. (USD bn.) - RHS USD/PKR
105.5
21.0
104.5
20.0
103.5
19.0
102.5
18.0 1-Apr
8-Apr
15-Apr
Market Rates
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0% 1-Apr
10-Apr
6M KIBOR
19-Apr O/N Repo Rate
28-Apr 6M T-Bill
CPI inflation continued to accelerate and was recorded at 4.2% .
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved.
04
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Economic & Markets Review - International Developed Markets Review The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average Index inched up 0.27% and 0.50% respectively during April, while the NASDAQ closed down 1.94%. In addition to the earnings season, dovish economic numbers undermined market performance. The Federal Reserve kept the policy rate unchanged and continued to highlight concerns over slow economic and manufacturing growth weighing on the rate of future rate increases. Apart from the US, trading volumes in European stock markets plunged significantly, reflecting rising economic and political uncertainty. Emerging Markets Review The MSCI Emerging Market Index went up by 0.41% during April on account of (a) recovery in global commodity prices (b) expectation of a slower US interest rate liftoff following Federal Reserve's comments, and (c) appreciation of emerging market currencies against the US Dollar.
Performance of Equities & Commodities
120%
MSCI World Index MSCI EM Index DB Commodity Index
100%
80%
60%
China's Shanghai Composite Index posted a loss of 2.18%, with economic concerns continuing to play on investor sentiment. GDP growth for 1QCY16 was reported at 6.7%, within the government's target, but the lowest since the 2009 financial crisis. The latest Chinese economic data is showing signs of stabilization, especially after a slowdown in the second half of last year. Commodities Review Oil prices continued to rise in April, with Brent and WTI surging by 21.5% and 19.8% respectively, on the back of a weaker dollar and expectations that oil markets would rebalance going into 2017. Expectation of slowing US crude oil production and a strike in Kuwait contributed to the oil rally in April. In addition to this, the Core Commodity CRB Index gained 8.3%, making a significant breakthrough after being under pressure in January (-5.33%). Coal prices on the other hand remained fairly stable (+0.76%) despite a strong bounce back in other commodities during the month.
Feb-15
May-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Valuations of International Markets
20 16 12 8 4 -
DM
US
UK
Japan Canada EM
Brazil Russia India
P/E Multiple
The Federal Reserve kept the policy rate unchanged .
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved.
05
Feb-16
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
China
Lakson Money Market Fund
MUFAPs Recommended Format
Investment Objective The investment objective of the Lakson Money Market Fund is to provide stable and competitive returns in line with the money markets, exhibiting low volatility consistent with capital preservation by constructing a liquid portfolio of low risk short term investments. Performance Review The Lakson Money Market Fund generated an annualized return of 5.64% against the benchmark return of 5.22% in April 2016. The Fund outpeformed the benchmark by 0.42%. Over the last 12 months the Fund has outperformed the benchmark by 0.20% and generated a return of 5.99%. Asset allocation changed with exposure to T bills dropping to 27% while placements with Banks and DFIs and cash holdings remained stable at 16% and 56% respectively. The higher cash position meant that portfolio WAM continued to decline and was recorded at 23 days. Keeping in mind the emergent pressures on secondary market yields and uncertainty on the duration of the current monetary stance the Fund will continue to stay on the shorter end of the yield curve. WWF Disclosure As of April 30th, 2016 the LMMF has maintained provisions against Workers' Welfare Fund's liability to the tune of PKR 55.0 million. If the same were not made the NAV per unit of the LMMF would be higher by PKR 1.40. If the LMMF would not have made the WWF provisions during FY16, the year to date annualized return of the LMMF for FY16 would be higher by 0.07%. For details investors are advised to read the Note 8.1 of the latest Financial Statements of the LMMF.
Asset Allocation
Credit Split
Others 1% Placements with Banks & DFIs 16%
Cash 56%
T-Bills 27%
AA+ 18% AA+ 8%
Asset Allocation Instruments Placements with Banks & DFIs PIBs T Bills Cash Others including receivables
Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 % of Total Assets 8% 17% 16% 0% 0% 0% 91% 32% 27% 1% 51% 56% 0% 0% 1%
WAM* Days 15 0 76 0
* Weighted Average Maturity
Non Compliant Investments Name of Non - Compliant Type of Investment Instrument
Value of Investment before
Total Value of % of Net % of Total Provisioning Investment Assets Assets Held after
Provisioning Pak Brunei Investment Co. Pak Oman Investment Co.
COI COI
600,000,000 600,000,000
Provisioning -
Disclosures Leverage as on April 30th, 2016 Non Performing Assets WAM of Portfolio
Nil. Nil. 23 Days
Open-End Money Market Fund 4,125 104.8751 Previous Day CDC Pakistan Limited BDO Ebrahim & Co. 10% of Gross Earnings subject to a minimum of 1.00% and maximum of 1.25% of the average annual net assets Front End Load None Back End Load None Launch Date November 13, 2009 Benchmark 50% Average 3M T-bills yield + 50% Average 3M TDR rate of minimum AA rated banks. Dealing Days Mon - Fri Cut-Off Time 4:00 PM Fund Rating 'AA' by PACRA (31.12.2015) Risk Profile Low Risk Asset Manager Rating AM2- by PACRA (31.03.2016)
Performance
Govt Sec 16% Govt Sec 27% AA 65% AA 66%
Fund Facts Fund Type Category Net Assets (PKR Mil.) NAV (29.4.2016) Pricing Mechanism Trustee Auditor Management Fee
600,000,000 10.56% 600,000,000 10.56%
Morningstar FY16 - YTD April-16 2 Months 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months CY16 - YTD
LMMF 5.56% 5.79% 5.59% 5.56% 5.45% 5.99% 5.70%
Benchmark 5.67% 5.35% 5.35% 5.36% 5.39% 5.79% 5.38%
Simple Annualized FY16 - YTD April-16 2 Months 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months CY16 - YTD 3 Years 5 Years Since Inception
LMMF 5.53% 5.64% 5.47% 5.45% 5.38% 5.99% 5.60% 8.09% 10.24% 11.88%
Benchmark 5.64% 5.22% 5.24% 5.25% 5.32% 5.79% 5.28% 8.30% 10.51% 12.14%
Please note that the benchmark of the fund was changed in February 2014. Benchmark calculation of tenors which include months prior to February 2014 incorporate the old benchmark as well.
LMMF vs. Benchmark 114 113 112 111 110 109 108 107 106 105 104 103 102 101 100 Jun-14
Sep-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Benchmark
10.39% 10.39%
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
LMMF
Investment Committee Babar Ali Lakhani Mustafa O. Pasha, CFA Sana Abdullah, CFA Syed Saifullah Kazmi Maryam Hidayatallah
Chairman
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved. Tha Lakson Money Market Fund holds certain non-complaint investments. Before making any investment decision investors should review this document and the latest financial statements.
06
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Lakson Income Fund
MUFAPs Recommended Format
Investment Objective The investment objective of the Lakson Income Fund is to provide competitive total return through investment in a diversified portfolio of fixed income securities. Investments will be made in a variegated mix of short term, medium term and longer term maturities depending on the assessment by the Investment Team of interest rate trends and prospective returns. Performance Review During April 2016 the LIF generated an annualized return of 3.00% against the benchmark return of 1.21%. The LIF outpeformed the benchmark by 1.79%. Over 10MFY16 the LIF has outperformed the average income fund by 1.49%. Asset allocation remained similar with the only change being the exposure in MTS. As a result the WAM of the portfolio remained stable at 493 days. As market volatility rises and the outlook for monetary policy becomes uncertain the Fund will look to trade its longer tenor positions. WWF Disclosure As of April 30th, 2016 the LIF has maintained provisions against Workers' Welfare Fund's liability to the tune of PKR 15.7 million. If the same were not made the NAV per unit of the LIF would be higher by PKR 0.40. If the LIF would not have made the WWF provisions during FY16, the year to date annualized return of the LIF for FY16 would be higher by 0.13%. For details investors are advised to read the Note 8.1 of the latest Financial Statements of the LIF.
Asset Allocation
Cash 39%
Credit Split Unrated 1%
Placements with Banks/ Other DFIs 2% 24%
Sukuk MTS 1% 1% TFCs T-Bill 5% 11%
Unrated 0.27%
AA+ 5%
PIB 17%
AA12%
AAA 2%
AA 9%
TFCs/Sukuk Portfolio Name of the Issuer Habib Bank Limited I Bank Al Falah Limited V Askari Bank Limited IV K-Electric AZM Sukuk III Bank Al Habib Limited IV
Issue Date 19-Feb-16 20-Feb-13 23-Dec-11 24-Feb-14 30-Jun-11
Open-End Income Fund 4,257 108.0182 Forward Day CDC Pakistan Limited BDO Ebrahim & Co. 1.50% 1.50% None November 13, 2009 Average of returns earned by the Income Funds in the industry Dealing Days Mon - Fri Cut-Off Time 4:00 PM Fund Rating 'A+' by PACRA (31.12.2015) Risk Profile Medium Risk Asset Manager Rating AM2- by PACRA (31.03.2016)
Performance Govt Sec 29%
A+ 41%
Fund Facts Fund Type Category Net Assets (PKR Mil.) NAV (29.4.2016) Pricing Mechanism Trustee Auditor Management Fee Front End Load Back End Load Launch Date Benchmark
Rating % of Total Assets AAA 1.75% AA0.97% AA0.48% AA 1.54% AA 1.32%
Morningstar FY16 - YTD April-16 2 Months 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months CY16 - YTD
LIF 8.55% 3.04% 4.49% 6.42% 6.18% 8.19% 7.22%
Benchmark 7.04% 1.21% 3.42% 5.71% 5.62% 6.27% 5.67%
Simple annualized FY16 - YTD April-16 2 Months 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months CY16 - YTD 3 Years 5 Years Since Inception
LIF 8.49% 3.00% 4.41% 6.27% 6.09% 8.19% 7.05% 11.40% 12.90% 14.38%
Benchmark 7.00% 1.21% 3.37% 5.59% 5.55% 6.27% 5.56% 11.22% 11.58% 12.05%
LIF vs. Benchmark 124 122 120 118
Asset Allocation Instruments Placements with Banks & DFIs PIBs T Bills TFCs Sukuks MTS Cash Others including receivables
116
Feb-16
Mar-16
15% 18% 11% 5% 1% 0% 49% 1%
% of Total Assets 25% 18% 11% 5% 1% 0% 39% 1%
* Weighted Average Maturity
Disclosures Leverage as on April 30th, 2016 Non Performing Assets WAM of Portfolio
Nil. Nil. 493 Days
Apr-16 24% 17% 11% 5% 1% 1% 39% 1%
WAM* Days 62 1561 0 2477 1030 59 0
114 112 110 108 106 104 102 100 Jun-14
Sep-14
Dec-14
Mar-15
Benchmark
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
LIF
Investment Committee Babar Ali Lakhani Mustafa O. Pasha, CFA Sana Abdullah, CFA Syed Saifullah Kazmi Maryam Hidayatallah
Chairman
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved.
07
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Lakson Equity Fund
MUFAPs Recommended Format
Investment Objective The investment objective of the Lakson Equity Fund is to provide long term capital appreciation by investing mainly in equity and related listed securities. Investments will be made in companies of substance, financial strength and demonstrably superior management skills with some exposure given to smaller capitalized value stocks. Performance Review LEF generated a MTD return of 3.53% in April'16, underperforming the benchmark return of 5.42%. On a YTD basis the Fund was up by 4.73% versus a decline of 6.34% in the benchmark. LEF maintained overall exposure at a cautious level of 84%. Gains were realised in the upswing in prices as result announcements generated interest. However, recovery in commodity prices in the April was a suprise which caused the benchmark heavyweights to rally and surpass fund returns. LEF trimmed exposure in Cements, parking the proceeds in Banks, Oil and Power Generation. Reshuffling of Chemicals took place as fundamentals changed for the sector. WWF Disclosure As of April 30th, 2016 the LEF has maintained provisions against Workers' Welfare Fund's liability to the tune of PKR 19.9 million. If the same were not made the NAV per unit of the LEF would be higher by PKR 0.75. If the LEF would not have made the WWF provisions during FY16, the year to date return of the LEF for FY16 would be higher by 0.00%. For details investors are advised to read the Note 8.1 of the latest Financial Statements of the LEF.
Top 10 Holdings
Asset Allocation 6.13% 5.69% 5.59% 5.19% 4.59% 4.33% 4.08% 4.02% 3.90% 3.52%
Sectorwise Exposure
Mar-16
Apr-16
Chemicals Const. & Mat. Oil & Gas Electricity Comm Banks Others
11.32% 24.87% 15.31% 7.52% 10.32% 12.90%
11.44% 23.16% 15.58% 8.36% 12.97% 12.41%
Others 1%
Cash 16%
Equity 84%
Sectorwise Exposure Others
LEF
KSE-30
4.73% 3.53% 10.78% 8.80% 4.49% 6.54% 6.23% 87.00% 158.62% 215.35%
-6.34% 5.42% 9.92% 11.15% -1.19% -5.84% 4.79% 38.01% 72.46% 111.30%
FY16 - YTD April-16 2 Months 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months CY16- YTD 3 YEAR 5 YEAR SINCE INCEPTION
*Returns based on last working day NAV
LEF vs. Benchmark 300
Commercial Banks
Const. & Mat.
Electricity
250 200 150 100
Apr-16 84% 0% 16% 1%
50
LEF
Apr-16
Mar-16
Jan-16
Feb-16
Dec-15
Oct-15
KSE-100
Nov-15
Sep-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
0
Jun-15
Mar-16 82% 0% 16% 2%
Apr-15
Feb-16 83% 0% 15% 2%
Mar-15
Equities T-Bills Cash Others
Performance
Chemicals
Oil & Gas
Asset Allocation (% of Total Assets)
Open-End Equity Fund 2,906 109.2559 Forward Day CDC Pakistan Limited KPMG Taseer Hadi & Co. 2.00% 3.00% None November 13, 2009 KSE-30 Index Mon-Fri 4:00 PM High Risk AM2- by PACRA (31.03.2016)
May-15
Engro Corporation Limited Lucky Cement Limited DG Khan Cement Limited Pioneer Cement Limited Pakistan State Oil Limited United Bank Limited Oil & Gas Development Co Hub Power Co Habib Bank Limited MCB Bank Limited
Fund Facts
Fund Type Category Net Assets (PKR Mil.) NAV (29.4.2016) Pricing Mechanism Trustee Auditor Management Fee Front End Load Back End Load Launch Date Benchmark Dealing Days Cut-Off Time Risk Profile Asset Manager Rating
KSE-30
Pakistan vs. Global Markets Country Pakistan India Malaysia Dubai USA USA
Index KSE-100 BSE Sensex 30 FTSE KLCI DFM General DJIA S&P 500
* Source: Reuters, Bloomberg
1M Return 4.8% 1.0% -2.6% 4.1% 0.5% 0.3%
P/E 9.6 19.7 18.5 11.7 16.9 19.2
Div. Yield 6.0% 1.6% 3.1% 4.1% 2.6% 2.2%
Investment Committee Babar Ali Lakhani Mustafa O. Pasha, CFA Sana Abdullah, CFA Syed Saifullah Kazmi Maryam Hidayatallah
Chairman
Disclosures Leverage as on Apr 30, 2016 Non Performing Assets
Nil. Nil.
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved.
08
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Lakson Asset Allocation Global Commodities Fund
MUFAPs Recommended Format
Investment Objective The investment objective of the Lakson Asset Allocation Global Commodities Fund is to provide longterm capital appreciation by investing in a mix of domestic debt and commodities. Performance Review During the month of April 2016 the Lakson Asset Allocation Global Commodities Fund generated an absolute return of 0.04% against the benchmark return of 1.66%. The Fund has outperformed the benchmark by 4.25% over 10MFY16. Allocation has been taken in T bills (37%) and PIBs (29%), while Cash (34%) has been kept in USD which has allowed the Fund to outperform the benchmark by a significant margin. WWF Disclosure As of April 30th, 2016 the LAAGCF has maintained provisions against Workers' Welfare Fund's liability to the tune of PKR 1.3 million. If the same were not made the NAV per unit of the LAAGCF would be higher by PKR 0.65. If the LAAGCF would not have made the WWF provisions during FY16, the year to date return of the LAAGCF for FY16 would be higher by 0.06%. For details investors are advised to read the Note 8.1 of the latest Financial Statements of the LAAGCF.
Global Commodities (DB Balanced Commodity ETF)
Asset Allocation Cash 34% T bills 37% PIBs 6%
PIBs 29%
Commodities Exposure
Placements with Banks & DFIs T-Bills PIBs Global Commodities Cash
LAAGCF
FY16-YTD April-16 2 Month 3 Month 6 Month 12 Months CY15-YTD 3 Years 5 Years Since Inception
Benchmark*
5.27% 0.04% 0.40% 1.24% 1.97% 5.05% 2.00% 19.18% NA 30.80%
1.02% 1.66% 2.57% 3.08% 1.84% 1.47% 2.99% 6.19% NA 21.06%
* The new Benchmark is effective from September 10, 2013.
LAAGCF vs. Benchmark
Benchmark
Mar-16
Oct-15
Dec-15
Aug-15
May-15
Oct-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Jun-14
Aug-14
Jan-14
Mar-14
Jun-13
Nov-13
Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 % of Total Assets 0% 0% 0% 43% 43% 37% 34% 34% 29% 0% 0% 0% 24% 24% 34%
Sugar 9.01%
Apr-13
Soybeans 8.29%
Aug-13
Corn 7.25%
Jan-13
Apr-16 32.11% 28.82% 19.89% 19.18%
125 123 121 119 117 115 113 111 109 107 105 103 101 99
Nov-12
Gold 16.09%
Disclosures Leverage as on April 30, 2016 Non Performing Assets
Fund Performance
Zinc 6.79%
Asset Allocation Instruments
Open-End Asset Allocation Fund 222 109.4527 Forward Day CDC Pakistan Limited BDO Ebrahim & Co. 10% of the gross earnings of the Scheme, calculated on a daily basis. The fee is Management Fee subject to a minimum of 0.75% and maximum of 2% of the average annual net assets of the Scheme. Front End Load 2.50% Back End Load None Launch Date October 10, 2011 Benchmark performance of the LAAGCF is calculated Benchmark through a 30:70 combination of DBLC - OY Balanced Index and 6month T-Bills. Dealing Days Mon - Fri Cut-Off Time 04:00 PM Risk Profile Medium Risk Asset Manager Rating AM2- by PACRA (31.03.2016)
Jun-12
Sectorwise Exposure as of Agriculture Energy Precious Metals Base Metals
Weight as of Apr-16 16.09 9.01 8.29 7.25 6.79 7.04 6.25 6.50 6.37 6.14 5.75 3.80 3.16 2.62 2.49 2.46
Fund Type Category Net Assets (PKR Mil.) NAV (29.4.2016) Pricing Mechanism Trustee Auditor
Sep-12
Commodity Gold Sugar #11 Soybeans Corn Zinc RBOB Gasoline Aluminium Brent Crude Heating Oil Copper - Grade A Light Crude Silver Natural Gas Wheat-Mineapolis Wht Wheat (Kansas Wheat) Wheat
Fund Facts
LAAGCF
Investment Committee Babar Ali Lakhani Mustafa O. Pasha, CFA Sana Abdullah, CFA Syed Saifullah Kazmi Maryam Hidayatallah
Chairman
Nil. Nil.
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved.
09
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Lakson Asset Allocation Developed Markets Fund
MUFAPs Recommended Format
Investment Objective The investment objective of the Lakson Asset Allocation Developed Markets Fund is to provide longterm capital appreciation by investing in a mix of domestic debt and developed markets securities. Performance Review During the month of April 2016 the Lakson Asset Allocation Developed Markets Fund generated an absolute return of -0.63% against the benchmark return of 0.72%. The Fund has outperformed the benchmark by 3.47% over 10MFY16. Allocation has been taken in T bills (23%), PIBs (49%) and Developed Market Equities (26%). Exposure in equities has been focused on US indices which offer a superior risk/return profile to other Developed Markets. WWF Disclosure As of April 30th, 2016 the LAADMF has maintained provisions against Workers' Welfare Fund's liability to the tune of PKR 2.8 million. If the same were not made the NAV per unit of the LAADMF would be higher by PKR 1.12. If the LAADMF would not have made the WWF provisions during FY16, the year to date return of the LAADMF for FY16 would be higher by 0.04%. For details investors are advised to read the Note 8.1 of the latest Financial Statements of the LAADMF.
Developed Markets Equities Apr-16 % of ETF's Assets Apple Inc 3.36% Microsoft Corp 2.43% Exxon Mobil Corp 1.93% Johnson & Johnson 1.66% General Electric Co 1.65% Berkshire Hathaway Inc 1.48% Facebook Inc 1.46% AT&T Inc 1.34% Procter & Gamble Co/Th1.28% Wells Fargo & Co 1.24% Vanguard S&P 500
Asset Allocation Cash 2% T-Bills 23%
DM Equities 26%
PIBs 49%
Fund Type Category Net Assets (PKR Mil.) NAV (29.4.2016) Pricing Mechanism Trustee Auditor
Open-End Asset Allocation Fund 301 121.5321 Forward Day CDC Pakistan Limited BDO Ebrahim & Co. 15% of the gross earnings of the Scheme, calculated on a daily basis. The fee is Management Fee subject to a minimum of 1.25% and maximum of 2% of the average annual net assets of the Scheme. Front End Load 2.50% Back End Load None Launch Date October 10, 2011 Benchmark performance of the LAADMF is calculated Benchmark through a 30:70 combination of MSCI World Index and 6-month T-Bills. Dealing Days Mon - Fri Cut-Off Time 04:00 PM Risk Profile Medium Risk Asset Manager Rating AM2- by PACRA (31.03.2016)
Fund Performance
Weight 94.97% 1.91% 1.13% 0.88% 0.59%
Sectors United States Ireland United Kingdom Switzerland Singapore
Disclosures
Weight 97.38% 1.22% 0.48% 0.48% 0.31%
Benchmark
2.23% 0.72% 3.10% 3.02% 0.48% 1.55% 1.14% 21.32% NA 51.45%
Feb-16
Dec-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Mar-15
May-15
Oct-14
Dec-14
Aug-14
May-14
Jan-14
Nov-13
Mar-14
Jun-13
Aug-13
Vanguard S&P 500 (As of Apr-16)
QQQ ETF (As of Apr-16)
Apr-13
Placements with Banks & DFIs T-Bills PIBs Developed Markets (DM) Equities Cash
Nov-12
Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 % of Total Assets 0% 0% 0% 24% 24% 23% 50% 49% 49% 25% 26% 26% 1% 1% 2%
Jun-12
141 139 137 135 133 131 129 127 125 123 121 119 117 115 113 111 109 107 105 103 101 99
Sep-12
Instruments
Leverage as on April 30, 2016 Non Performing Assets
5.70% -0.63% 1.34% 3.24% 1.33% 5.79% 1.98% 25.5% NA 46.88%
LAADMF vs. Benchmark
Asset Allocation
Country United States China Singapore United Kingdom Netherlands
LAADMF Benchmark
FY16-YTD April-16 2 Months 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months CY16-YTD 3 Years 5 Years Since Inception
Jan-13
% of ETF's Assets Apple Inc 10.39% Microsoft Corp 7.89% Amazon.com Inc 6.21% Facebook Inc 5.40% Alphabet Inc 4.79% Alphabet Inc 4.14% Comcast Corp 2.96% Intel Corp 2.86% Cisco Systems Inc 2.77% Gilead Sciences Inc 2.41%
QQQ ETF
Fund Facts
LAADMF
Investment Committee Babar Ali Lakhani Mustafa O. Pasha, CFA Sana Abdullah, CFA Syed Saifullah Kazmi Maryam Hidayatallah
Chairman
Nil. Nil.
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved.
10
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
PowerShares QQQ ETF (Developed Markets): Allocations
Type QQQ US Equity DES and click on Allocations
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (Developed Markets): Allocations
Type VUSD LN Equity DES and click on Allocations
11
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Lakson Asset Allocation Emerging Markets Fund
MUFAPs Recommended Format
Investment Objective The investment objective of the Lakson Asset Allocation Emerging Markets Fund is to provide longterm capital appreciation by investing in a mix of domestic debt and emerging market securities. Performance Review During the month of April 2016 the Lakson Asset Allocation Emerging Markets Fund generated an absolute return of 0.06% against the benchmark return of 0.38%. The Fund has outperformed the benchmark by 3.70% over 10MFY16. Allocation has been taken in T bills (53%) and PIBs (25%), while Cash (22%) has been kept in USD which has allowed the Fund to outperform the benchmark by a significant margin. WWF Disclosure As of April 30th, 2016 the LAAEMF has maintained provisions against Workers' Welfare Fund's liability to the tune of PKR 1.0 million. If the same were not made the NAV per unit of the LAAEMF would be higher by PKR 1.11. If the LAAEMF would not have made the WWF provisions during FY16, the year to date return of the LAAEMF for FY16 would be higher by 0.03%. For details investors are advised to read the Note 8.1 of the latest Financial Statements of the LAAEMF.
Cash 22% T-Bills 53%
PIBs 25%
Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 % of Total Assets 0% 0% 0% 52% 53% 53% 24% 25% 25% 0% 0% 0% 24% 22% 22%
Disclosures Leverage as on April 30, 2016 Non Performing Assets
Nil. Nil.
Benchmark
Jan-16
Nov-15
Mar-16
Jun-15
Aug-15
Apr-15
Jan-15
Nov-14
Jun-14
Aug-14
Apr-14
Jan-14
Weight 14.68% 8.33% 7.08% 7.04% 5.84%
Nov-13
Sectors Banks Semiconductors Oil&Gas Telecommunications Internet
127 125 123 121 119 117 115 113 111 109 107 105 103 101 99
Jun-13
Weight 18.97% 15.37% 11.62% 8.08% 7.21%
-0.30% 0.38% 3.66% 3.89% 1.31% -2.18% 2.53% 10.21% NA 33.14%
LAAEMF vs. Benchmark
EEM Composition (As of Apr-16) Country China South Korea Taiwan India Brazil
3.40% 0.06% 0.28% 0.73% 1.16% 3.37% 1.26% 13.43% NA 29.37%
Sep-13
Placements with Banks & DFIs T-Bills PIBs Emerging Markets (EM) Equities Cash
LAAEMF Benchmark
FY16-YTD April-16 2 Month 3 Month 6 Month 12 Months CY15-YTD 3 Years 5 Years Since Inception
Asset Allocation Instruments
Fund Performance
Apr-13
3.30% 3.13% 2.89% 1.92% 1.50% 1.48% 1.09% 1.04% 0.94% 0.91%
Feb-13
Samsung Electronics Co Taiwan Semiconductor Tencent Holdings Ltd China Mobile Ltd Naspers Ltd China Construction Bank Industrial & Commercia Alibaba Group Holding L Hon Hai Precision Indus Infosys Ltd
Asset Allocation
Nov-12
% of Assets
Jun-12
As of Apr-16
Security
Open-End Asset Allocation Fund 100 113.2186 Forward Day CDC Pakistan Limited BDO Ebrahim & Co. 10% of the gross earnings of the Scheme, calculated on a daily basis. The fee is Management Fee subject to a minimum of 0.75% and maximum of 2% of the average annual net assets of the Scheme. Front End Load 2.50% Back End Load None Launch Date October 10, 2011 Benchmark performance of the LAAEMF is Benchmark calculated through a 30:70 combination of MSCI Emerging Markets Index and 6-month TBills. Dealing Days Mon - Fri Cut-Off Time 04:00 PM Risk Profile Medium Risk Asset Manager Rating AM2- by PACRA (31.03.2016)
Sep-12
Emerging Market Equities
Fund Facts Fund Type Category Net Assets (PKR Mil.) NAV (29.4.2016) Pricing Mechanism Trustee Auditor
LAAEMF
Investment Committee Babar Ali Lakhani Mustafa O. Pasha, CFA Sana Abdullah, CFA Syed Saifullah Kazmi Maryam Hidayatallah
Chairman
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved.
12
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Funds Return History The periodic returns for the funds have been presented below as per SECP's SCD Circular No. 16 dated July 03, 2014. The returns presented below are: Yearly returns for the last five fiscal years and Absolute returns for every fiscal year since inception The returns have been annualized for money market and income schemes where the performance evaluation is less than one year.
Last 3 and 5 Fiscal Years Lakson Money Market Fund (LMMF) Fund Benchmark
FY'11
FY'12
FY'13
FY'14
FY'15
11.69% 11.76%
11.19% 11.31%
8.76% 9.14%
7.90% 8.50%
8.57% 8.45%
11.50% 10.82%
11.57% 8.86%
9.21% 9.17%
8.38% 8.31%
14.17% 12.64%
20.44% 28.53%
9.74% 10.45%
40.02% 52.20%
32.15% 25.96%
23.93% 5.67%
6.42% 10.63%
10.52% 13.45%
9.64% 12.94%
7.76% 5.34%
5.85% 7.25%
3.44% 7.89%
4.24% 7.47%
8.86% -1.02%
6.23% 9.82%
5.46% 8.50%
6.40% 10.01%
4.96% 3.36%
Lakson Income Fund (LIF) Fund Benchmark
Lakson Equity Fund (LEF) Fund Benchmark
Lakson Asset Allocation Developed Markets Fund (LAADMF) Fund Benchmark
Lakson Asset Allocation Global Commodities Fund (LAAGCF) Fund Benchmark
Lakson Asset Allocation Emerging Markets Fund (LAAEMF) Fund Benchmark
Since Inception Absolute Returns LMMF vs Benchmark Fund Benchmark
FY'10 6.77% 6.66%
FY'11 19.25% 19.21%
FY'12 32.63% 32.73%
FY'13 44.25% 44.86%
FY'14 55.65% 57.17%
FY'15 68.98% 70.45%
LIF vs Benchmark Fund Benchmark
7.16% 4.59%
19.49% 15.90%
33.35% 26.20%
45.63% 37.77%
57.84% 49.22%
80.20% 68.08%
LEF vs Benchmark Fund Benchmark
-0.66% 7.32%
19.65% 37.94%
31.30% 52.35%
83.84% 107.12%
142.95% 160.89%
201.91% 200.87%
LAADMF vs Benchmark Fund Benchmark
6.42% 10.63%
17.62% 25.51%
28.95% 41.75%
38.96% 49.33%
LAAGCF vs Benchmark Fund Benchmark
5.85% 7.25%
9.49% 15.71%
14.13% 24.36%
24.25% 23.09%
LAAEMF vs Benchmark Fund Benchmark
6.23% 9.82%
12.03% 19.15%
19.20% 31.08%
25.11% 35.49%
DISCLAIMER: This publication is for informational purposes only and nothing herein should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any fund. All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please read the Offering Document to understand the investment policies and risks involved.
13
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Mutual Funds Performance Comparison Position as of May 04, 2016
Income Funds ABL Income Fund Atlas Income Fund Faysal Financial Sector Opportunity Fund Faysal Savings Growth Fund First Habib Income Fund HBL Income Fund JS Income Fund Lakson Income Fund MCB DCF Income Fund. NAFA Financial Sector Income Fund NAFA Income Fund NAFA Income Opportunity Fund NAFA Savings Plus Fund NIT - Income Fund Pakistan Income Fund PICIC Income Fund UBL Income Opportunity Fund (UIOF) Islamic Income Funds ABL Islamic Income Fund Al Ameen Islamic Sovereign Fund Alfalah GHP Islamic Income Fund Askari Islamic Income Fund Atlas Islamic Income Fund Faysal Islamic Savings Growth Fund JS Islamic Government Securities Fund MCB Islamic Income Fund Meezan Islamic Income Fund Meezan Sovereign Fund NAFA Riba Free Savings Fund Pak Oman Advantage Islamic Income Fund
Money Market Funds
ABL Cash Fund AKD Cash Fund Alfalah GHP Cash Fund Alfalah GHP Money Market Fund Askari Sovereign Cash Fund Atlas Money Market Fund Atlas Sovereign Liquid Fund BMA Empress Cash Fund Faysal Money Market Fund First Habib Cash Fund HBL Money Market Fund JS Cash Fund Lakson Money Market Fund MCB Cash Management Optimizer NAFA Government Securities Liquid Fund NAFA Money Market Fund Pakistan Cash Management Fund PICIC Cash Fund PIML Daily Reserve Fund UBL Liquidity Plus Fund UBL Money Market Fund Islamic Money Market Funds Al Ameen Islamic Cash Fund HBL Islamic Money Market Fund Meezan Cash Fund
30 Days 1.99 4.21 1.19 2.85 (0.49) 3.62 2.66 3.48 1.92 5.52 4.80 4.86 5.60 3.00 2.64 1.16 5.78
90 Days 4.87 5.86 4.85 6.08 3.20 5.00 5.86 6.15 4.33 6.42 6.23 6.34 6.11 5.22 4.37 6.68 5.89
4.07 4.40 1.92 2.28 5.14 4.94 4.33 4.26 3.85 4.79 5.23 4.00
Annualized Returns (%) 180 Days 5.25 5.62 3.81 5.28 3.70 4.53 5.81 6.23 4.36 6.18 6.43 6.38 6.08 5.19 4.12 6.74 6.42
270 Days 6.45 7.34 6.24 7.20 5.63 5.80 5.41 7.59 5.83 6.39 6.89 7.06 6.15 5.60 5.90 7.64 6.49
365 Days 6.17 7 5.06 6.78 5.06 6.45 5.48 8.3 5.74 7.05 7.12 8.2 6.48 5.4 5.78 6.6 6.12
5.79 5.58 5.20 4.39 5.57 6.06 5.26 5.41 5.14 4.67 5.36 6.69
5.73 3.92 4.54 4.73 4.99 6.51 3.85 5.16 5.65 5.58 5.48 5.12
5.78 3.93 4.59 5.20 4.94 5.57 3.14 5.02 6.02 4.90 5.39 4.37
6.13 4.42 4.74 5.09 5.36 5.91 3.75 5.31 6.23 5.37 5.81 3.74
5.02 4.99 4.71 4.92 5.55 6.02 5.71 3.87 5.20 5.01 4.27 5.24 5.62 4.87 5.42 5.83 5.49 5.36 5.37 4.84 4.53
5.09 5.02 4.73 4.96 5.11 5.70 5.38 4.13 5.16 4.97 4.45 5.44 5.46 4.98 5.73 6.26 5.50 5.38 5.42 4.84 4.52
5.27 5.13 4.92 5.12 5.08 5.66 5.37 4.06 5.33 5.00 4.65 5.45 5.38 5.26 5.65 6.09 5.62 5.53 5.86 4.95 4.81
5.59 5.39 5.21 5.41 5.39 5.99 5.69 4.50 5.54 5.33 5.04 5.73 5.53 5.66 5.70 6.13 5.82 5.92 6.10 5.25 5.07
6.78 5.77 5.87 6.05 6.39 6.47 6.66 4.86 6.01 5.7 6.05 6.61 5.93 6.3 5.93 6.8 6.65 7.72 6.3 5.81 5.28
4.46 3.21 4.34
4.64 3.41 4.26
4.54 3.98 4.29
4.64 4.29 4.38
4.61 4.35 4.81
N/A = Not Available
Source: MUFAP
14
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Mutual Funds Performance Comparison Position as of May 04, 2016 Aggressive Income Funds AKD Aggressive Income Fund Alfalah GHP Income Multiplier Fund Askari High Yield Scheme BMA Chundrigar Road Savings Fund Faysal Income & Growth Fund Pakistan Income Enhancement Fund United Growth & Income Fund Islamic Aggressive Income Funds Al Ameen Islamic Aggressive Income Fund NAFA Islamic Aggressive Income Fund Equity Funds ABL Stock Fund AKD Opportunity Fund Alfalah GHP Alpha Fund Alfalah GHP Stock Fund Askari Equity Fund Atlas Stock Market Fund First Capital Mutual Fund First Habib Stock Fund HBL Stock Fund JS Growth Fund JS Large Cap Fund JS Value Fund Lakson Equity Fund MCB Pakistan Stock Market Fund NAFA Stock Fund National Investment Unit Trust PICIC Energy Fund PICIC Stock Fund PIML Value Equity Fund United Stock Advantage Fund Islamic Equity Funds ABL Islamic Stock Fund Al Ameen Shariah Stock Fund Al Meezan Mutual Fund Alfalah GHP Islamic Stock Fund HBL Islamic Stock Fund JS Islamic Fund Meezan Islamic Fund PIML Islamic Equity Fund
Absolute Returns (%) 30 Days 4.75 2.79 2.18 2.97 4.55 0.81 3.28
90 Days 11.14 5.77 7.29 10.15 9.11 4.56 14.02
180 Days 10.16 6.47 7.04 10.40 6.27 4.76 10.02
270 Days 10.26 7.58 8.31 11.26 8.71 7.24 10.12
365 Days 6.53 6.09 6.24 8.53 7.85 6.37 8.66
2.87 5.67
8.96 6.39
7.74 7.00
7.07 7.34
7.37 7.86
3.64 8.35 3.20 3.29 4.13 4.58 3.80 3.48 2.66 2.62 0.72 2.66 2.98 4.02 5.73 2.82 2.32 3.24 1.49 3.01
6.50 11.31 3.79 3.92 2.24 6.82 7.15 6.90 4.40 2.05 1.08 2.33 7.29 5.11 9.09 3.50 3.79 6.37 4.18 2.03
0.31 (3.23) 4.66 4.68 (6.95) 2.64 0.71 0.85 (1.76) 1.19 0.43 3.67 4.60 0.01 5.15 1.90 (5.19) (0.74) 0.64 2.44
(0.59) (3.84) 1.99 2.12 (13.22) (4.72) (4.47) (6.28) (6.85) (5.22) N/A 0.57 (0.55) (5.71) (0.11) (1.70) (9.54) (3.25) (4.23) (0.06)
5.38 33.42 11.85 13.06 -8.81 0.56 2.67 -0.32 -0.48 2.1 2.07 7.9 6.46 3.01 8.05 6.36 -9.35 5.18 6.7 10.18
1.97 3.33 3.06 2.54 1.57 0.63 3.42 0.76
4.44 4.80 7.94 4.67 3.04 2.59 7.69 4.38
(2.12) 4.31 3.91 7.90 (1.87) 2.85 4.92 1.42
(4.14) (0.21) 1.33 5.78 (7.67) (4.70) 2.16 (2.05)
1.92 11.15 9.76 16.83 -1.62 5.81 12.43 8.27
2.18 1.82 3.63 1.93 1.54
(1.04) 2.91 5.80 3.43 (0.01)
(7.72) (0.94) 3.49 (0.19) 0.63
(0.57) (3.64) 0.16 (3.65) (0.49)
8.22 2.33 5.66 2.27 4.24
1.85 2.21
4.46 5.71
(0.71) 3.76
(4.29) 2.88
0.73 9.44
Balanced Funds Faysal Balanced Growth Fund HBL Multi Asset Fund NAFA Multi Asset Fund Pakistan Capital Market Fund Unit Trust of Pakistan Islamic Balanced Funds First Habib Islamic Balanced Fund Meezan Balanced Fund
N/A = Not Available
Source: MUFAP
15
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Mutual Funds Performance Comparison Position as of May 04, 2016 Asset Allocation Funds Alfalah GHP Value Fund Askari Asset Allocation Fund Faysal Asset Allocation Fund Lakson Asset Allocation Developed Markets Fund Lakson Asset Allocation Emerging Markets Fund Lakson Tactical Fund MCB Pakistan Asset Allocation Fund MCB Pakistan Frequent Payout Fund NAFA Asset Allocation Fund Pak Oman Advantage Asset Allocation Fund UBL Asset Allocation Fund Islamic Asset Allocation Funds Al Ameen Islamic Asset Allocation Fund Askari Islamic Asset Allocation Fund NAFA Islamic Asset Allocation Fund Pak Oman Islamic Asset Allocation Fund Pakistan Int'l Element Islamic Asset Allocation Fund
Absolute Returns (%) 30 Days 3.47 3.15 5.01 (0.75) 0.03 0.01 0.48 0.54 4.09 1.30 0.48
90 Days 4.56 1.47 2.00 3.07 0.72 1.22 0.99 1.21 5.62 4.42 3.07
180 Days 6.20 (7.89) (5.67) 1.36 1.21 2.09 (0.64) N/A 3.78 1.32 3.51
270 Days 4.40 (12.37) (8.14) 5.15 2.80 4.29 (0.76) N/A 0.17 0.41 4.18
365 Days 14.47 -7.1 0.28 5.75 3.21 4.89 0.91 N/A 7.2 7.99 6.59
0.69 2.70 2.04 1.51 1.75
2.82 1.06 5.34 5.46 3.71
2.92 (4.73) 4.05 3.13 0.52
2.50 (8.74) 1.92 3.47 (5.66)
8.21 -6 10.83 12.95 -0.4
0.58 1.08
1.68 0.87
2.64 0.03
3.20 (2.59)
5.22 1.02
1.78 2.08
2.27 3.41
0.75 (0.65)
(1.43) (4.68)
3.22 1.86
Capital Protected Funds HBL Mustahekum Sarmaya Fund 1 Pakistan Sarmaya Mehfooz Fund
Islamic Capital Protected Funds NAFA Islamic Principal Protected Fund I NAFA Islamic Principal Protected Fund II
N/A = Not Available
Source: MUFAP
16
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Markets Information Equities Total Return in PKR and % Markets
Index
World Developed Emerging Europe
1-yr
5-yr
Total Return in USD and %
YTD
3-mo
YTD
3-mo
1-yr
5-yrWorld
MSCI All Country World Index
1.0%
7.6%
-7.6%
MSCI World Index
0.5%
7.0%
-6.1%
13.0%
1.0%
7.6%
-7.6%
13.0%
20.3%
0.5%
7.0%
-6.1%
20.3%
MSCI Emerging Markets Index
5.8%
13.2%
-19.8%
MSCI Europe Index
-1.4%
5.6%
-12.6%
-30.2%
5.8%
13.2%
-19.8%
-30.2%
-9.4%
-1.4%
5.6%
-12.6%
China
CSI 300
-15.4%
7.2%
-9.4%
-33.5%
-1.1%
-15.4%
7.2%
-33.5%
Dubai
DFM
0.0%
0.0%
-1.1%
0.0%
141.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
141.3%
India
BSE Sensex 30
-2.0%
3.0%
-5.2%
33.8%
-2.0%
Japan
Nikkei 225
-12.4%
-4.9%
-14.6%
69.2%
-12.4%
3.0%
-5.2%
33.8%
-4.9%
-14.6%
Malaysia
FTSE Bursa
-1.2%
0.3%
-8.0%
9.0%
-1.2%
0.3%
-8.0%
69.2% 9.0%
Pakistan
KSE 100
5.8%
10.9%
2.9%
187.9%
5.8%
10.9%
2.9%
187.9%
Sri Lanka
Colombo All Share
-5.5%
2.8%
-9.2%
-11.7%
-5.5%
2.8%
-9.2%
-11.7%
UK
FTSE 100
0.0%
2.6%
-10.3%
2.8%
0.0%
2.6%
-10.3%
2.8%
US
DJIA
2.0%
7.9%
-0.4%
38.7%
2.0%
7.9%
-0.4%
38.7%
US
S&P 500
1.0%
6.4%
-1.0%
51.5%
1.0%
6.4%
-1.0%
51.5%
US
NASDAQ 100
-5.5%
1.5%
-1.7%
80.6%
-5.5%
1.5%
-1.7%
80.6%
Germany
DAX Index
-6.6%
2.5%
-12.4%
33.6%
-6.6%
2.5%
-12.4%
33.6%
CANADA
TSX 300 Composite Index
7.2%
8.8%
-8.4%
0.0%
7.2%
8.8%
-8.4%
0.0%
France
CAC - 40
-4.5%
0.3%
-12.2%
7.8%
-4.5%
0.3%
-12.2%
7.8%
Brazil
Sao Paulo SE Bovespa Index
24.4%
33.4%
-4.1%
-18.5%
24.4%
33.4%
-4.1%
-18.5%
Korea
Korea SE Kospi
1.7%
4.3%
-6.3%
-9.0%
1.7%
4.3%
-6.3%
-9.0%
Taiwan
Taiwan SE Weighted Index
0.5%
2.9%
-14.7%
-7.0%
0.5%
2.9%
-14.7%
-7.0%
Automobile and Parts
-5.1%
-5.2%
-5.3%
437.9%
-5.1%
-5.2%
-5.3%
437.9%
Banks
-2.6%
5.8%
-11.5%
90.5%
-2.6%
5.8%
-11.5%
90.5%
Chemicals
-7.5%
-0.3%
-9.0%
79.3%
-7.5%
-0.3%
-9.0%
79.3%
Construction and Materials
13.7%
10.9%
22.7%
873.6%
13.7%
10.9%
22.7%
873.6%
Electricity
-3.0%
-0.5%
-6.9%
184.6%
-3.0%
-0.5%
-6.9%
184.6%
Fixed Line Telecommunication
-12.7%
-1.7%
-30.0%
-16.4%
-12.7%
-1.7%
-30.0%
-16.4%
Food Producers
-1.0%
5.5%
-11.2%
141.2%
-1.0%
5.5%
-11.2%
141.2%
-30%
-5%
20%
45%
70%
KSE Sectors
Non Life Insurance
-1.5%
1.4%
9.8%
180.6%
-1.5%
1.4%
9.8%
180.6%
Oil and Gas
18.0%
26.6%
-14.6%
16.8%
18.0%
26.6%
-14.6%
16.8%
0.1%
-1.8%
-0.2%
168.3%
0.1%
-1.8%
-0.2%
168.3%
Personal Goods
YTD 3-mo
Fixed Income Current Interbank Rates on Money Market
Historic 6-month Interbank Rates
1M
3M
6M
12M
YTD
3-mo
1-yr
2-yr
China
SHIBOR
2.85%
2.91%
2.93%
3.04%
3.00%
2.96%
3.20%
3.99%
Dubai
UAE IBOR
0.64%
1.06%
1.29%
1.62%
1.26%
1.27%
1.06%
0.96%
India
MIBOR
7.68%
7.80%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
Japan
TIBOR
0.03%
0.06%
0.11%
0.14%
0.19%
0.17%
0.23%
0.26%
Malaysia
KLIBOR
3.37%
3.69%
3.80%
3.89%
3.85%
3.83%
3.83%
3.80% 8.08%
Pakistan
KIBOR
6.50%
6.35%
6.36%
6.68%
6.37%
6.36%
6.65%
Sri Lanka
SLIBOR
9.29%
9.73%
10.20%
10.68%
8.87%
9.19%
7.74%
7.65%
UK
LIBOR
0.51%
0.59%
0.74%
1.02%
0.74%
0.74%
0.74%
0.71%
US
SIBOR
0.44%
0.64%
0.90%
1.23%
0.88%
0.89%
0.65%
0.50%
Current Market Yields on Government Securities China
Govt. Securities vs. KIBOR
8.00% 7.75% 7.50% 7.25% 7.00% 6.75%
Interbank Apr16
6.50% 6.25% 6.00% 5.75% 5.50% 5.25% 5.00% 1W
Historic 12-Month Paper Rates
3M
12M
5Y
10Y
YTD
3-mo
1-yr
2-yr
2.21%
2.32%
2.76%
2.92%
2.27%
2.24%
2.28%
2.82%
India
8.31%
6.88%
#N/A
7.44%
7.13%
7.10%
7.36%
7.86%
Japan
-0.29%
-0.30%
-0.20%
-0.08%
-0.22%
-0.25%
-0.11%
-0.06%
Malaysia
2.48%
2.59%
3.49%
3.90%
2.70%
2.65%
2.95%
3.14%
Pakistan
6.10%
6.18%
7.21%
8.41%
6.17%
6.16%
6.45%
7.86%
Sri Lanka
9.73%
10.68%
NA
NA
9.34%
9.69%
8.10%
7.98%
UK
0.51%
0.48%
0.98%
1.60%
0.39%
0.40%
0.46%
0.43%
US
0.21%
0.55%
1.29%
1.83%
0.55%
0.56%
0.41%
0.28%
1M
3M
6M
1Y
2Y
12M Yields of Government Securities China India Japan Malaysia Pakistan Sri Lanka UK US 0%
17
Govt. Sec. Apr 16
3%
6%
9%
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
12%
Markets Information Commodities Total Return Commodity
3-mo
1-yr
Current Prices
Unit
YTD
5-yr
DB Commodity Index
USD Excess Return
9.1%
13.6%
-19.8%
-51.8%
301.4
S&P Global Commodity Index
USD Total Return
7.4%
13.2%
-29.3%
-59.5%
2331.0
Dow Jones UBS Commodity Index
USD Total Return
9.0%
10.8%
-17.4%
-51.1%
Coal
USD/Tonne
0.3%
4.0%
-18.2%
N.A
172.5 50.8
Copper
USc/lbs
6.7%
10.3%
-21.0%
-45.3%
227.9
Cotton
USc/lbs
0.8%
4.3%
-6.4%
-64.3%
63.8
Gold
USD/t oz.
21.7%
15.6%
9.1%
-17.1%
1290.5
Palm Oil
USD/Tonne
17.9%
16.0%
13.4%
-42.3%
656.8
Sugar
USc/lbs
6.0%
23.0%
24.5%
-30.9%
16.2
Wheat
USD/Bushel (60Ibs)
1.7%
-0.3%
2.4%
-37.9%
4.8
WTI
USD/bbl
24.0%
36.6%
-23.0%
-59.7%
45.9
Brent Crude
USD/bbl
29.1%
38.5%
-27.9%
-61.8%
48.1
Heating Oil
USd/Gallon
25.2%
30.6%
-30.3%
N.A
137.8
RBOB Gasoline
USD/Gallon
25.1%
43.7%
-22.7%
-54.3%
1.6
Natural Gas
USD/MMBTU
-6.8%
-5.2%
-20.8%
-53.6%
2.2
Silver
USD/t Ozs
28.9%
24.9%
10.3%
-63.4%
17.8
120
DBCI
SPGSCI
DJUBS
110 100 90 80 70 60 50 Apr-15
Jun-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Apr-16
Currencies Change Versus PKR in % YTD
Current Exchange Rates
3-mo
1-yr
5-yr
190
GBP
Canadian Dollar
CAD
0.00%
0.00%
-6.49%
-11.97%
CAD - PKR
78.87
Euro
EUR
0.00%
0.00%
2.02%
-6.97%
EUR - PKR
116.61
Indian Rupee
INR
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
-6.37%
INR - PKR
1.7941
Japanese Yen
JPY
0.00%
0.00%
1.88%
55.21%
JPY - PKR
0.8692
Pound Sterling
GBP
0.00%
0.00%
1.22%
11.91%
GBP - PKR
158.28
Singaporian Dollar
SGD
0.00%
0.00%
-5.28%
5.41%
SGD - PKR
72.89
90
US Dollar
USD
0.00%
0.00%
2.71%
23.31%
USD - PKR
104.48
70 Apr-15 Jun-15
18
EUR
CAD
USD
170 150 130 110
Jul-15
Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
Disclaimer This information has been prepared by Lakson Investments for your general information and private use only. It does not constitute investment advice and is not intended to be an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned. It should not be considered as an incentive to invest. The securities described in this document may not be eligible for sale or subscription in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This document is not intended for distribution to a person or within a jurisdiction where such distribution would be restricted or illegal. This document may not be conveyed to or used by a third party without our express consent. Any other use is not authorized. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and no member of Lakson Investments makes any warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. All the information included in this presentation is current when this document is prepared and subject to changes at any time. Any forecast or projection or forward looking statement made in this document is not necessarily indicative of future or likely performance, future events or future financial performance of securities, countries, markets or companies. Such statements are only predictions and actual events or results may differ. Lakson Investments may from time to time provide services to the companies and their affiliates mentioned herein. Employees of Lakson Investments or ersons/entities connected to them may from time to time have position in or are holding any of the securities mentioned in this document. No consideration have been given to and no investigation was made of your investment objectives, financial situation or particulars, and accordingly, no warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of you acting on such information or opinion or estimate. Lakson Investments expressly disclaims any fiduciary responsibility or liability for any consequences, financial or otherwise arising from any reliance placed on this information in this document. Disclaimer: All investments in mutual funds are subject to market risks. The NAV of Units may go up or down based on market conditions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of the future results. The investors are advised in their own interest to carefully read the Offering Document in particular the investment policy in Clause 2.2 and risk disclosure and warning statements contained in Clause 2.11 and Part 11 respectively in this Offering Document.
Transaction Locations: Islamabad: Contact Person: Mr. Ali Kazmi - Branch Manager Office No.6, Mezzanine floor, Kashmir Plaza, Jinnah Avenue, Blue Area, Islamabad. UAN: 051.111-111-717 Fax: 051.2870228 Lahore: Contact Person: Mr. Haider Abbas 14 Ali Block, 1st Floor New Garden Town, Lahore. Tel: 042.591.1025/26 Rawalpindi: Contact Person: Mr. Tariq Aziz - Branch Manager Suite No.3, 1 st Floor, Majeed Plaza Bank Road, Rawalpindi Tel: 051.551.2251/52 Fax: 051.511.0996 Faisalabad: Contact Person: Mr. Shahbaz Choudhry - Branch Manager 1 st Floor, FM Plaza 15-D, Peoples Colony, Faisalabad Tel: 041.324.1704/07 Fax: 041.855.4453 Sialkot: Contact Person: Mr. Nisar Bhatti - Branch Manager 1 st Floor, Karim Plaza Iqbal Town, Defence Road, Sialkot Tel: 052.324.1704/07 Fax: 052.324.1703
19
Lakson Outlook - April 2016
1954
DECADES OF SEASONED INVESTMENT
Century Insurance
Merit Packaging Limited
Century Paper & Board Mills
Hassan Ali Karabhai Foundation
Lakson Investments Limited. Lakson Square, Building No. 2, Sarwar Shaheed Road, Karachi-74200, Pakistan
UAN T F E
+92.21 111 Lakson +92.21 3569.8000 +92.21 3568.1653
[email protected] www.li.com.pk