InsurersvsBanks ChristianThimann

Insurers versus Banks in Systemic Regulation LSE Systemic Risk Centre Conference ’Perspectives on Systemic Risk’ London,...

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Insurers versus Banks in Systemic Regulation LSE Systemic Risk Centre Conference ’Perspectives on Systemic Risk’ London, 16 October 2014 Christian Thimann

Insurance sector in the EU Banks Assets Loans Loans to firms and households

Liabilities Equity Deposits Households and firms deposits

Insurance companies Assets Liabilities Equity

Cash Loans Debt securities Government debt

Interbank loans Bank debt Loans to govts.

Debt securities Government debt Bank debt Other

Interbank deposits

Debt issued

Equity securities

Total: € 30.4 trillion

Insurance technical reserves

Other

Investment fund shares Equity securities

Debt issued

Total: € 6.2 trillion

• 5 100 insurance companies in Europe • 995 000 direct employees and 1 million outsourced employees in Europe Source: Insurance Europe

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Regulation going global & the notion of systemic risk

Systemic risk: • “Failure of a significant part of financial institutions” (Acharya et al. 2011; De Bandt and Hartmann, 2000) • “Correlated defaults of financial institutions over time” (Billio et al. 2010) • “Impairment of the financial system (Adrian and Brunnermeier, 2011) • “Malfunctioning of the entire financial system” (Bach and Nyuyen, 2012; RodriguezMoreno and Pena, 2013) • “Loss of economic value or widespread loss of confidence in the financial system” (Baur et al. 2003; Cummins and Weiss, 2011).

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Systemic risk: timeline FSB policy measures for systemic banks

2008 G-20  FSB to address systemic risks in financial sector

4

2011

FSB  IAIS to develop rules for insurance sector

2012

2013

Initial list of 9 systemic insurers (G-SIIs)

2014-2015 Policy measures for insurers developed by end2015

Parallels between banking and insurance frameworks First designation date Number of institutions

Overall justification

FSB framework for banks

FSB framework for insurers

2011 29

2013 9

Size, global activity, interconnectedness, complexity and substitutability

Size, global activity, interconnectedness, non traditional noninsurance activities and substitutability

1) Enhanced supervision 2) Effective risk management planning

Implications

3) More capital

Timeline

5

2010-2016

2013-2016

Differences between banks and insurers – an illustration Assets Interbank loans

Banking 1 Interbank market

Liabilities

Assets

1

Interbank deposits

Client Deposits 2 Maturity transformation and leverage

No “interinsurance market”

Assets

Capital Loans to firms and households and other assets

Insurance

Short term and volatile

3

Constitute money

4

(Public and private debt securities, equities, real estate, infrastructure financing, cash…)

Debt

Liabilities Passive Capital Commitments to policy Holders

2 No maturity transformation and leverage

Finances banking activities

Largely stable, predictable Do not constitute money

Debt Not financing insurance activities

Highly systemic

Differences

Systemic

1

Institutional interconnectedness

3

Liquidity risk

Not systemic

2

Maturity transformation and leverage

4

Money and payments function

3 4

Banks and insurers: two differences, four similarities 4 differences between banks and insurers as regards to systemic risk

Only two similarities

1. Institutional interconnectedness

1. Financial intermediaries

 Banks are institutionally connected through the interbank market

 Insurers are stand-alone operators

2. Maturity transformation and leverage  Maturity transformation and leverage are inherent in banking

 Insurers match asset-liability duration; leverage is quasi-absent

3. Exposure to liquidity risk  Banks face an inherent liquidity risk

 Insurers are liquidity-rich

4. Role on money and payment system  Banks create money and they constitute the payment system

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 Insurers do not create money; they use the payment system

 Banks and insurers are financial intermediaries between savers and investors

2. Financial investors  Banks and insurers are large-scale investors in financial markets

Leverage, Capital and loss absorption in banking and insurance “Banking all about leverage”, Leverage ratio = Equity/Assets.

Leverage

Insurance leverage is quasi-absent. Leverage=Equity/Debt? In banking, capital helps funding. Can help address first deposit outflows. Capital shortfall equals systemic risk. Capital surcharges control leverage.

Capital

Built-in absorption capacity

88

In insurance, capital ensures that last policy is paid. Capital shortfall does not equal systemic risk. Capital surcharges do not control leverage. In banking, challenging.

higher

loss

absorption

beyond

equity very

In insurance, higher loss absorption through participating contracts.

Conclusions on systemic risk regulation

1. FSB/research parallelism between banking and insurance misleading; differences in systemic interaction are far-reaching. 2. Insurers’ role for the economy is undisputed; sources of risk, contagion and channels of transmission are yet to be analyzed more specifically. 3. Different roles of leverage, capital and risk absorption crucial. 4. Given different balance sheet structure, capital surcharges might not be an appropriate control instrument, other tools are likely to be more effective.

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