Highway Bridge State &&Local Construction Market Funding Update Update Alison Premo Black, PhD Alison Premo PhDEconomist ARTBA Senior VP, PolicyBlack, & Chief ARTBA Senior VP & Chief Economist ARTBA Board Meeting ARTBA Federal Issues May 10, 2016Program May 9, 2016
© 2016 ARTBA. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without prior written permission of ARTBA.
www.transportationinvestment.org
26 States & DC Have Increased Motor Fuel Related Taxes 43 Times Since 1997 Approved Prior to 2013
Approved 2013-2015 WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID
WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE UT
NV CA
MA
IL
CO KS
CT
OH
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
© 2016 ARTBA. All rights reserved. No part of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without prior written permission of ARTBA.
MD DC
States Introduced 179 Transportation Funding Bills in 2015 Legislation introduced WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE CA
CT
OH
UT
NV
MA
IL
CO KS
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
DC
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report.
MD
Breakdown of 2015 State Transportation Funding Measures Other 15%
One-time funding 19%
Gas tax increase 23%
Recurring revenue (non-fuel) 21% Variable gas tax rate only 4% Alt fuel, Elec Vehicle Fees 4%
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
Lockbox 14%
Eight States Approved State Motor Fuel Tax Increases in 2015 Approved
Introduced
WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID
WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE NV
CT
OH
UT
CA
MA
IL
CO KS
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD DC
Six States Approved or Adjusted Variable-Rate Gas Taxes in 2015 Approved/Adjusted
Introduced
WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE NV
CT
OH
UT
CA
MA
IL
CO KS
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
DC
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD
Eight States Approved Other Recurring Revenues in 2015 Approved
Introduced
WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE
CT
OH
UT
NV
MA
CA
IL
CO KS
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD DC
Five States Approved Alternative Fuel and Electric Vehicle Taxes/Fees in 2015 Approved
Introduced
WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE
CT
OH
UT
NV
MA
CA
IL
CO KS
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
DC
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD
Two States Approved Transportation Lockboxes in 2015 Approved
Introduced
WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE CA
CT
OH
UT
NV
MA
IL
CO KS
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
DC
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD
Ten states approved one-time funding measures in 2015 Introduced
Approved WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE
CT
OH
UT
NV
MA
IL
CA
IN
CO KS
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
DC
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD
States Introduced 89 Transportation Funding Bills in 2016 YTD Legislation Introduced WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE CA
CT
OH
UT
NV
MA
IL
CO KS
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
DC
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD
Breakdown of 2016 State Transportation Funding Measures One-time funding 12% Other 32%
Recurring revenue (non-fuel) 15%
Lockbox 8%
Gas tax increase 22%
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
Variable gas tax rate only 2%
Alt fuel, Elec Vehicle Fees 9%
YTD 2016: 13 States Consider Legislation to Raise State Fuel Taxes Proposed
Approved WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID
WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE UT
NV CA
MA
IL
CO KS
CT
OH
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD DC
2015 - Voters Approved $22 Billion in Transportation Investment 79 Transportation Measures On the Ballot “Fuel Tax”: 4 measures, 5% of total ballots
“Other”: 5, 6%
Bonds: 6 measures, 8% of total ballots
General Sales Tax: 25 measures, 32% of total ballots Property or Income Tax: 39 measures, 49% of total ballots
Source: ARTBA Ballot Initiatives, 2015 Election Report
67% of Measures Approved • Bond Measures: 83% approved. • General Sales Tax: 60% approved. • Fuel Tax: 50% approved. • Property or Income Tax: 74% approved.
Transportation Funding Ballot Measures Approved 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40%
74%
69%
30%
73%
80%
63%
77% 61%
85%
79%
68%
67%
72%
20% 10% 0% 2005
Source: ARTBA Election Reports
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015 Average
2016 State & Local Ballot Initiatives – States to Watch Local Only
Statewide WA
* And Local Measure(s)
MT
NH ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID
WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE UT
NV* CA
MA
IL
CO KS
CT
OH
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: TIAC™ State Funding Initiatives Report
MD DC
Analysis Shows Gas Tax Supporters Not Hurt at the Ballot
95% of all Republican legislators and 88% of all Democratic legislators who voted in favor of a state gas tax increase in 2013 and 2014 and ran for reelection were re-elected. Of the legislators who voted against a gas tax increase, 94% of Republicans and 86% of Democrats were reelected.
Source: ARTBA
Political Party of Legislature and Governor where State Gas Tax Increases were passed since 1997 Democrat Leg & Gov
Republican Leg & Gov
Different Parties
WA
NH MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT
ID
WI
SD
NY MI
WY
PA
IA
NE UT
NV CA
MA
IL
CO KS
CT
OH
IN
RI
WV
MO
VA
KY
DE NJ
NC AZ
OK
NM
TN AR
SC MS
AL
GA
TX LA
AK
FL HI
Source: ARTBA
MD DC
Other TIAC Resources
Campaign resources, including... Campaign Management Firms Opinion Research/Polling Firms Sample Advertising & Media
Sample Polling TranspoAdvocates News
TIAC has created 52 case studies on successful and unsuccessful legislation and state, county and local ballot measures. Successful legislation or state ballot measure
Unsuccessful legislation or state ballot measure
Local ballot measure
* Motor fuel tax increase
WA *
NH * MT
ME
ND MN
OR
VT *
ID *
WI
SD *
NY MI *
WY *
MA * PA *
IA *
NE *
CT
OH NV
UT *
IL
CA
IN
RI WV
CO KS
VA *
MO
KY
DE NJ
NC TN OK
AZ
NM
AR
SC MS
AL
DC
GA *
TX LA
AK
FL HI
MD *
Webinars Upcoming Webinars: Transportation Funding Campaigns in an Election Year | August 2016 Advocates will explore strategies and the challenges of running a transportation funding campaign while state leaders are facing reelection.
Past Webinar Recordings are Available on the TIAC Website! The Governor’s Role in Transportation Funding Thinking Outside the Gas Tax Building Transportation Investment Coalitions Beating Gas Tax Rhetoric from the Right
www.transportationinvestment.org/webinars
3rd Annual “National Workshop for State & Local Transportation Advocates”
The annual Workshop brings together transportation investment champions from around the country to share best practices, playbook secrets and other keys to success in advancing state and local legislative and ballot initiatives that boost transportation infrastructure investment. www.transportationinvestment.org/state-funding-advocacy-workshop/workshops
Transportation Investment Advocates Council
A national network of business professionals and public officials who share a common interest in building support for transportation infrastructure investments in their state or local community—roads, bridges, public transit, pedestrian walkways and cycling paths, airports, waterways, ports and rail facilities. To join for free, contact: Carolyn Kramer Manager, Transportation Investment Advocacy Center
[email protected] 202-289-4434
Alison Premo Black Senior Vice President, Policy & Chief Economist American Road & Transportation Builders Association
[email protected] @APremoBlack 202-289-4434
