4 Market Overview OBE

WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved Confidential Market Overview www.sendsms.cn 2009.04.12 2007 Distributors Conferenc...

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WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

Confidential

Market Overview www.sendsms.cn

2009.04.12

2007 Distributors Conference Olivier Beaujard VP Business Development April 2007

收集整理

Wavecom Confidential

1

WAVECOM© WAVECOM©2005. 2006 All All rights rights reserved reserved

Confidential

Segmentation Definition

Wavecom Confidential 2

Segmentation Definition

Tier1 / Car Manufacturers / OEM: • Telematics, Infotainment • Navigation built-in,

Home & Security :

• Industrial Automation,

• Alarms (Domestic & Pro),

• Desktop phones

• Telemedicine,

• Payphone/Public Call Office

• Home Automation,

• LCR / PABX / VoIP Gateways

• Video surveillance

Mobile Computing :

• Facility Management,

• Hands-free built-in, • Emergency call,

Sales & Payment :

• Remote diagnostics,

• Vending, Cash Registers,

Aftermarket : WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

Control & Monitoring:

• Traffic signals, Display…

• Alarm built-in,…

• Radio add on • Hands-free add on • Info traffic • Navigation add on • Alarm add on

Mobile Professional

M2M

Automotive

Fixed Voice :

• PDAs • PC Cards, PC Modems

• EPOS,

Vehicle Remote Management:

• Copiers/Printers,

• Fleet,

Entertainment :

• Parking Meters,

• Toll Collect,

• Gaming Machines

• Gambling

• Vehicle Recovery,

• Digital Media Payers

Automatic Meter Management:

• Pay-As-You-Drive

• Set Top Boxes

• Water, Gas, Electricity

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• PC Embedded

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Confidential

Industry Projections Worldwide

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The size of our markets

Î

“M2M devices shipments for N.America + W.Europe will reach 26 million for 2006..”

Î

“The number of M2M modules already totalled 92 million units in 2004…”

Î

“The worldwide M2M market is expected to be worth over 200 billion EUR in 2010…”

Î

“Cellular M2M modules shipments will reach 20 million units in 2006…”

Î

“30 million wireless M2M devices installed worldwide in 2006…”

Time for Homework !

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Volumes by Segment (K Units) Worldwide

44,757 34,054

CAGR 27,5%

25,944 19,750 15,410 8,75 0

36,5%

11,477

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26,6%

Î

Scenario steady-state volume progression.

Î

We have a better accuracy after SE acquisition – robust and consistent figures

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Revenues by Segment (M€) Worldwide

1265 1040

CAGR 14,5%

878 741

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473

567

641 21,8%

13,7%

Î

Market valuation model taking into account a price decrease / segment / region

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Sub-segmentation (K Units) Worldwide

44,757

34,054 25,944 19,750 15,410 11,477 WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

8,750

Î

External market analysts do not have such a level of details

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CAGR 31,2%

Revenue sub-segmentation (M€) Worldwide

1265

CAGR 17,8%

1040 878 741 641 567

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473

Î

Most sub-segments substantially below 100M Euros, which is one reason why semiconductor companies are not interested today

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WAVECOM© WAVECOM©2005. 2006 All All rights rights reserved reserved

Confidential

2006 Market Breakdown by Manufacturer

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2006 Market breakdown by Manufacturer

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Our Estimates based on field information

NB:

Excludes PC cards and PDAs, which are large markets in themselves

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2006 WW Market Share – (Revenues) The Market Leader – our Estimates

Wavecom +SE

1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 4%

Siemens 34%

10%

Motorola Onstar + Modules Simcom

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15%

Telit + Bellwave Spreadtrum 30%

Wavecom Confidential

Enfora

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WAVECOM© WAVECOM©2005. 2006 All All rights rights reserved reserved

Confidential

Segments Potential 2006-2010

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Segments Potential - Worldwide

30%

AMM

CAGR (2006-2010)

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Sales Payment

20%

AfterMarket

Control Monit.

Home& Security

VRM

Auto Tier1

10%

Mob. Comp. Rev. 2010 5m€

100m€+

50m€

Revenues (2006)

Wavecom Confidential

Fixed Voice

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Segments Potential - EMEA

AMM

CAGR (2006-2010)

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30%

Sales Payment

AfterMarket

Mob. Comp. 10%

Home& Security

Control Monit.

20%

VRM

Auto Tier1 Fixed Voice

Rev. 2010 5m€

50m€

25m€

Revenues (2006)

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Segments Comparison - APAC

CAGR (2006-2010)

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30%

Sales Payment 20%

Home& Security

Control Monit. Auto AfterTier1 Market

AMM

VRM

10%

Mob. Comp. Fixed Voice

Rev. 2010 5m€

50m€+

25m€

Revenues (2006)

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Segments Comparison - Americas AMM

30% Sales

CAGR (2006-2010)

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Payment

20%

Home& Security

After- Control Market Monit.

VRM

10%

Rev. 2010 5m€

Auto Tier1

Fixed Voice Mob. Comp. 50m€+

25m€

Revenues (2006)

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2007 Market Size and Key Segments Worldwide

APAC

Americas

EMEA

Revenue (M€)

740,6

240,2

239,6

260,8

Volume (KU)

19,750

8,520

6,180

5,050

Auto Tier 1(*)

Fixed Voice

Auto Tier1(*)

VRM

Fixed Voice

Mobile Computing

VRM

Home & Security

VRM

AMM

Mobile Computing

AMM

Mobile Computing

VRM

Home & Security

Control & Monitoring

Home & Security

Control & Monitoring

Fixed Voice

Total Market 2007

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Top 5 Segments by Revenue

Home & Security

(*) Auto Tier1 in Americas includes all OnStar business

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Some take aways Î

Automotive and Vehicle Remote Monitoring – – –

Î

Automatic Meter Management – –

Î

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De-regulations trigger projects in Europe/Oceania (accurate and actual insight in energy consumption) Energy savings and fraud avoidance creates markets

Sales & Payment good potential –

Î

Emergency services (Onstar and e-Call + Aftermarket) Pay-as-you-drive projects (PAYD) and road-charging programs applications driving volumes.

Emerging countries (wireline replacement) and/or tax control and fraud protection

Fixed Voice –

Still growing in emerging countries

Î

Other segments relatively small, driven by local economics

Î

In summary -- Projecting market to grow steadily, although scenarios where growth is more or less. Higher growth requires mass market adoptions such as with e-Call and Onstar, PAYD, Toll-Collect and aggressive energy de-regulation roll out.

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Teamwork to adopt an ecosystem approach

Legislation / Gov.

Key Customers Key Targets

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Distributors

Customer

Tier1 System Integrator Product Manufacturer

End Customer Car Maker Energy Supplier Insurances Banks

Service Provider

End User IT Integrators

Wireless Operators

Influencers Partners

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WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

Conclusion Î

We have a complete market analysis by application segment and by region for the first time.

Î

We believe this analysis is self consistent, and checked with figures from Sony Ericsson, but still does not have valid confirmation by an independent firm (Gartner, ABI, HR, …)

Î

There are many trends that lead us to believe that the market will grow steadily, with the possibility of discontinuous, more rapid growth, as some applications gain mass market adoption.

Î

Largest highly fragmented segments: VRM / Control Monitoring / Fixed Voice / AMM – through distribution network

Î

Number #1 leading supplier on the market – 2007 will be the year of recognition

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2007 : TRY CONVERSION !

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Confidential

THANK YOU ! Wavecom Confidential 23

WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

Subsegmentation Data (K Units) Worldwide

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Revenue subsegmentation Data (M€) Worldwide

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EMEA – Volumes by segment (K Units)

15770 11844 8754 6180

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4580

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WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

EMEA – Volumes by segment (K Units)

Î

Top 5 segments by 2009: – – – – –

Automatic Meter Management Vehicle Remote Management Home & Security Sale & Payment Fixed Voice

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EMEA – Revenues by segment (M Euros)

498 406,4 327,5 260,8

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212,5

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WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

EMEA – Revenues by segment (M Euros)

Î

Top 5 segments by 2009: – – – – –

AMM Vehicle Remote Management Home & Security Sale & Payment Control & Monitoring

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APAC – Volumes by segment (K Units)

17178 13350 10550 8520

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6910

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WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

APAC – Volumes by segment (K Units)

Î

Top 5 segments by 2009: – – – – –

Fixed Voice Mobile Computing AMM Vehicle Remote Management Home & Security

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APAC – Revenues segment (M Euros) 354 299,0 240,2

270,4

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220,6

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APAC – Revenues segment (M Euros)

Î

Top 5 segments by 2009: – – – – –

Fixed Voice Mobile Computing AMM Vehicle Remote Management Home & Security

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Americas – Volumes by segment (K Units) 12029 8860 6640 5050

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3920

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WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

Americas – Volumes by segment (K Units)

Î

Top 5 segments by 2009: – – – – –

Auto Tier 1 Home & Security Vehicle Remote Management Control & Monitoring Mobile Computing

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Americas – Revenues by segment (M Euros) 500,00

418

400,00 280,4

300,00

335,2

239,6 209,6

200,00 100,00 0,00 WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Tier 1

Aftermarket

AMM

Sales & Payment

Control & Monitoring

Home & Security

Vehicule Remote Mgt

Fixed Voice

Mobile Computing

Entertainment

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WAVECOM©2005. All rights reserved

Americas – Revenues by segment (M Euros)

Î

Top 5 segments by 2009: – – – – –

Auto Tier 1 Home & Security Vehicle Remote Management Control & Monitoring Mobile Computing

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