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Financial crises: predictability, causes and consequences Date: Tuesday 10th April 2018 Organisers: Jon Danielsson (SRC,...

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Financial crises: predictability, causes and consequences Date: Tuesday 10th April 2018 Organisers: Jon Danielsson (SRC, LSE), Marcela Valenzuela (University of Chile), Ilknur Zer (Federal Reserve Board) Venue: Conference Suite, 9th Floor, Tower 2, Clement’s Inn, LSE, London WC2A 2AZ 09.30 – 10.00

Registration and refreshments

10.00 – 11.00

Björn Richter – University of Bonn When to Lean Against the Wind? (joint work with Moritz Schularick and Paul Wachtel)

11.00 – 12.00

Michael Kiley – Federal Reserve Board What Macroeconomic Conditions Lead Financial Crises?

12.00 – 13.30

Lunch

13.30 – 14.30

Miguel Segoviano – International Monetary Fund Macroprudential Stress Tests and Policies: Stretching for Robust and Implementable Frameworks

14.30 – 15.30

Cristoph Trebesch – Kiel University Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo (joint work with Josefin Meyer and Carmen Reinhart)

15:30 – 16.00

Coffee break

16.00 – 17.00

Matthew Baron – Cornell University Identifying Banking Crises (joint work with Wei Xiong and Emil Verner, both of Princeton University)

17.00 – 18.00

Daisuke Ikeda – Bank of England Bank Runs, Prudential Policy and Social Welfare in a Global Game General Equilibrium Model

18.00 – 19.00

Drinks and nibbles reception

Free WiFi: Select “The Cloud” from the network list. Open your browser and follow instructions to register/log on.